Nvidia: Is the Price Unrealistic?

John D. Kiambuthi
3 min readJun 1, 2023

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The stock has more than doubled in the past year, but is it still a good investment?

Photo by Christian Wiediger on Unsplash

Nvidia is a leading provider of graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) computing platforms. The company’s stock price has been on a tear in recent years, rising from around $20 per share in 2016 to over $300 per share in 2023. This has led some investors to question whether the stock price is too high.

Nvidia’s stock price has surged in recent months, reaching an all-time high of $346.47 on May 24, 2023. The stock has been on a tear since the beginning of the year, up over 100%.

There are a number of factors that have contributed to Nvidia’s stock price rise. The company’s GPUs are used in a wide range of applications, including gaming, data centers, and self-driving cars. The growing demand for these applications has led to strong revenue growth for Nvidia. In addition, the company has been investing heavily in AI research and development, which is expected to drive future growth.

The company has been posting strong earnings results. In its most recent quarter, Nvidia reported earnings of $3.06 per share, beating analyst expectations by $0.09. Revenue was also up 53% year-over-year.

Nvidia is benefiting from the growing demand for graphics cards. The company is the leading supplier of graphics cards for gaming, cryptocurrency mining, and artificial intelligence. The demand for graphics cards is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, as more and more people use them for gaming, cryptocurrency mining, and artificial intelligence.

Nvidia is expanding its business into new markets. The company is investing in new technologies, such as self-driving cars and virtual reality. These new markets have the potential to be very large, and they could provide Nvidia with significant growth opportunities in the coming years.

“Nvidia is a leader in the AI market, and I think the stock has more room to run,” said Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest. “I would buy the stock on any weakness.”

However, some investors are concerned that Nvidia’s stock price is too high. The company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of over 60, which is considered to be very high. Additionally, Nvidia’s valuation is based on the assumption that the company will continue to grow at a rapid pace. If Nvidia’s growth slows down, the stock price could fall.

“Nvidia is a good investment, but it’s not a buy at this price,” said Michael Burry, the hedge fund manager who predicted the housing market crash. “I would wait for the stock to pull back to a more reasonable level before buying.”

Technical Analysis:

The technical analysis of Nvidia’s stock price suggests that the stock is overbought. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are both considered to be resistance levels. Additionally, the stock is trading in a downtrend, which is a bearish signal.

The RSI indicator is also signaling that the stock is overbought. The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes. When the RSI is above 70, it suggests that the stock is overbought and due for a correction.

The MACD indicator is also signaling that the stock is overbought. The MACD is a trend-following indicator that measures the difference between the moving averages of a security’s price. When the MACD is above the zero line, it suggests that the stock is in an uptrend. However, when the MACD crosses below the zero line, it suggests that the uptrend is ending and the stock is due for a correction.

Overall, the technical analysis suggests that Nvidia’s stock price is overbought and due for a correction. Investors should carefully consider the risks and rewards before investing in Nvidia.

“Nvidia is a great company, but the stock price is too high,” said Mark Mahaney, senior analyst at Evercore ISI. “I would wait for a correction before buying.”

Conclusion:

Nvidia is a strong company with a bright future. However, the stock price is currently overbought. Investors should wait for the stock to pull back before buying

“Nvidia is a great company, but the stock price is too high,” said Jim Cramer, host of CNBC’s Mad Money. “I would wait for the stock to pull back before buying.”

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John D. Kiambuthi
John D. Kiambuthi

Written by John D. Kiambuthi

Corporate Finance & Securities Analyst stuck between a bull and a bear. Finding balance between risk & reward in a chaotic market. Humorous approach to finance.

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